New poll places Tinubu as lead candidate for 2027

Divided opposition weakens challenge

From Fred Itua, Abuja
Bola Ahmed Tinubu has entered the 2027 presidential race as the clear frontrunner, according to a new forecast by CellHub, a data analysis and political consulting firm, which projects the President as favoured to win a second term on the strength of a fractured opposition and a gradual shift in how voters are beginning to weigh his economic record.
The firm’s base case rests on a reading that is as straightforward as it is damaging to the opposition’s prospects. The vote against the President is splitting across three separate platforms while the vote behind him holds with one.
Under Nigeria’s electoral rules, which awa...