Tinubu, Northern Nigeria and 2027

E very of Nigeria’s quadrennial presidential election since the advent of the 4th Democratic Republic in 1999, has been variously described as being the ‘’most consequential’’ and ‘’make or mar’’ by pundits and other interested stakeholders in Africa’s largest democracy. This is because each presidential election is usually characterised by tension soaked and fierce geo-political contestation of power, which unravels Nigeria’s ethno-geographic and religious fault lines in ways that often threaten the continuous corporate existence of the Nigerian state.
 

 
Although described as a ‘’do or die’’ election by then President Olusegun Obasanjo, the 2007 presidential election was more ...